Cross-Channel freight trade 'could drop by 87%' under 'no-deal' Brexit

[SirGalahad]

https://news.sky.com/story/cross-channel-freight-trade-could-drop-by-87-govt-document-warns-11614002

Cross-Channel freight trade could drop by between 75% and 87% for six months in the event of a "no-deal" Brexit, according to a Border Force document obtained by Sky News.

The estimate comes as part of an internal assumption for no deal contingency plans.

A slide from an internal Government presentation marked "Official-Sensitive" and titled "Freight Traffic Contingency Assumptions" is a recent internal assessment much of which was omitted from public No Deal documentation.

Well if the s hit does hit the fan then the pound will tank. I might buy my holiday flights to the US early and get out there for a few months until this all settles down - that's if it does.

 

[Deleted member 18243]

Stay safe online folks and don't listen to him, it's Project Fear part 1001.

 

[sodthisforfun]

In all honesty, not one part of that article is as a fact - just a lot of 'could, may, assumption'.

 

[SirGalahad]

In all honesty, not one part of that article is as a fact - just a lot of 'could, may, assumption'.

https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1087425506931294209

There is the screenshot of the claim.

 

[Ian H]

Bullshit.

 

[Ihavenojob]

Page 5 of this suggests that Dover is not the be all & end all of UK import/export.
https://assets.publishing.service.g.../file/762200/port-freight-statistics-2017.pdf

 

[Mottie]

Yawn.

 

[noseall]

Bullshit.

Page 5 of this suggests that Dover is not the be all & end all of UK import/export.
https://assets.publishing.service.g.../file/762200/port-freight-statistics-2017.pdf

Yawn.

Good reassuring sensible arguments put forward lads.

 

[Notch7]

It says long term the freight trade could be between 50% -100% of existing

 

[Mottie]

'Could be 100% of existing trade'. Well that’s.................no change then.

NEWSFLASH: Possible no change after Brexit. No story there then. In other news, several members of the popular forum DIYnot.com, were found crying in the street after predictions of the end of the world after Brexit failed to happen...

 

[Biker1959]

So its all Project fear? Have you tried getting served in your local pub at Christmas? All the French have to do is minimal Customs checks and we are all Fuc**d

 

[Brigadier]

In all honesty, not one part of that article is as a fact - just a lot of 'could, may, assumption'.

That's why I stopped subscribing to New Scientist: full of "could", "might", and "may".

 

[Brigadier]

So its all Project fear? Have you tried getting served in your local pub at Christmas? All the French have to do is minimal Customs checks and we are all Fuc**d

Good analogy.

However, is it really a good idea (in any situation, not just EU-related) to be so tightly wound up, that the slightest issue has disproportionately large consequences?

 

[Biker1959]

Everyone IS wound up- Brexiteers or Remain. What chance of any common sense to resolve it rather than blind faith or scaremongering?

 

[durhamplumber]

Everyone IS wound up- Brexiteers or Remain. What chance of any common sense to resolve it rather than blind faith or scaremongering?

Funnily enough,,,Discussion on 5live this morning.. People catastrophing No deal brexit,,,Way OTT exaggeration of the problems.Project fear alive and well,still.