Third world people want to be First world, thus the industries of these countries will continue to grow and pollute more.
The birth-rate of the world, will probably do more damage, more quickly.
Scientist Rebellion
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Third world people want to be First world, thus the industries of these countries will continue to grow and pollute more.
The birth-rate of the world, will probably do more damage, more quickly.
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Climate records are tumbling at a galloping pace. The world has just experienced its hottest ever single day on record, amid a string of record-breaking months that followed the planet’s hottest recorded year. But how does this cascade of new highs in the era of modern record-keeping compare with the Earth’s deeper history?
Read on @the Garundia...
“There is no one perfect temperature for the Earth, but there is for us humans,” as Katharine Hayhoe, a leading climate scientist at the Nature Conservancy, has put it. “We are perfectly adapted to our current conditions. Two-thirds of the world’s largest cities are located within a metre of sea level.
Antarctic sea ice levels were at a record low in 2023
“A hundred years or so is less than a blink of an eye in Earth’s history,” said Lina Pérez-Angel, a palaeoclimatologist at Brown University. “There’s nothing in Earth’s history that shows a change happening this quickly, it’s just so, so fast. Usually these changes take a long time, things can adapt. Right now the pace of change is one of the biggest concerns we have.”
Sea levels have risen more than 10cm since 1993
“The long-term burial of carbon changes on long timescales but humans have reversed natural processes,” said Huber. “We are now digging up carbon and oxidising it. We are basically digging up old global warming.”
“The change [in global temperatures] isn’t a surprise,” said Smerdon. “What is a surprise is that we’re continuing to do this without acting in an emergency to address the challenge. This is within our control. It’s a bit like if you are hitting yourself in the face with a hammer – you can choose to stop doing that.”
Read on @the Garundia...
“There is no one perfect temperature for the Earth, but there is for us humans,” as Katharine Hayhoe, a leading climate scientist at the Nature Conservancy, has put it. “We are perfectly adapted to our current conditions. Two-thirds of the world’s largest cities are located within a metre of sea level.
Antarctic sea ice levels were at a record low in 2023
“A hundred years or so is less than a blink of an eye in Earth’s history,” said Lina Pérez-Angel, a palaeoclimatologist at Brown University. “There’s nothing in Earth’s history that shows a change happening this quickly, it’s just so, so fast. Usually these changes take a long time, things can adapt. Right now the pace of change is one of the biggest concerns we have.”
Sea levels have risen more than 10cm since 1993
“The long-term burial of carbon changes on long timescales but humans have reversed natural processes,” said Huber. “We are now digging up carbon and oxidising it. We are basically digging up old global warming.”
“The change [in global temperatures] isn’t a surprise,” said Smerdon. “What is a surprise is that we’re continuing to do this without acting in an emergency to address the challenge. This is within our control. It’s a bit like if you are hitting yourself in the face with a hammer – you can choose to stop doing that.”
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Surges in migration have often been predicted due to rising sea levels, but I suspect that rising temperatures and wild fires will equally cause as much migration.
It may not be initially seen as migration due to climate change, but when the soil becomes too salty due to bracken water, floods (due to rain or high tides) washes away what soil there is, grassland is devoured by fire, and agricultural land shrinks on enormous scales, there will be increased competition for the scarce resources, such as food, water and land.
While there are politicians, funded by carbon fuel companies, who ignore the problem, it will always be a problem to deliver what insufficient policies there are.
In addition, there are wars occurring that is preventing the use of usable agricultural land.
It may not be initially seen as migration due to climate change, but when the soil becomes too salty due to bracken water, floods (due to rain or high tides) washes away what soil there is, grassland is devoured by fire, and agricultural land shrinks on enormous scales, there will be increased competition for the scarce resources, such as food, water and land.
While there are politicians, funded by carbon fuel companies, who ignore the problem, it will always be a problem to deliver what insufficient policies there are.
In addition, there are wars occurring that is preventing the use of usable agricultural land.
Global Warming is the engine driving this unprecedented Climate Change.
An additional 130 monthly national temperature records have also been broken, along with tens of thousands of local highs registered at monitoring stations from the Arctic to the South Pacific, according to Maximiliano Herrera, who keeps an archive of extreme events. On some days, thousands of monitoring stations set new records of monthly maximums or minimums. The latter is particularly punishing as high night-time temperatures mean people and ecosystems have no time to recover from the relentless heat. In late July, for example, China’s Yueyang region sweltered though an unprecedentedly elevated low of 32C during its dark hours, with dangerously high humidity.
The geographic range of all-time national records is staggering. Mexico tied its peak of 52C at Tepache on 20 June. On the other side of the world, the Australian territory of Cocos Islands tied its all-time high with 32.8C on 7 April for the third time this year. But the fiercest heat has concentrated on the tropics. On 7 June, Egypt registered a national high of 50.9C at Aswan. Two days before that Chad tied its national record of 48C at Faya. On 1 May, Ghana hit a new peak of 44.6C at Navrong, while Laos entered new heat territory with 43.7C at Tha Ngon. Herrera said the tropics had set records every day for 15 months in a row.
The European Union’s leading monitoring agency, the Copernicus Climate Change Service, recently reported that June was the 13th month in a row to set a monthly temperature record, with temperatures 1.5C above the preindustrial average, bringing more intense heatwaves, extreme rainfall events and droughts; reductions in ice sheets, sea ice, and glaciers, as well as accelerated sea-level rise and ocean heating. There is no end in sight for unwelcome records, according to Carlo Buontempo, the director of Copernicus: “Even if this specific streak of extremes ends at some point, we are bound to see new records being broken as the climate continues to warm. This is inevitable unless we stop adding greenhouse gases into the atmosphere and the oceans.”
Hopes of a cooling have so far proved elusive. The preliminary data from the Copernicus ERA5 satellite suggests that 22 July was the hottest day in the Earth’s recorded history, with an average global surface air temperature of 17.15C. Herrera said he hoped extreme weather alerts could prepare the world for what was coming and reduce threats to lives, infrastructure and economies. “It’s during extreme weather that we humans and other species are under stress or at risk, so it’s when we are more potentially vulnerable,” he said.
The Guardenia
From a personal perspective, this summer's been rubbish - too much rain as the jet stream was so far South it trapped all kinds of Arctic weather across the British Isles. On the plus side, however, my mossy gardens have really soaked it all in.
An additional 130 monthly national temperature records have also been broken, along with tens of thousands of local highs registered at monitoring stations from the Arctic to the South Pacific, according to Maximiliano Herrera, who keeps an archive of extreme events. On some days, thousands of monitoring stations set new records of monthly maximums or minimums. The latter is particularly punishing as high night-time temperatures mean people and ecosystems have no time to recover from the relentless heat. In late July, for example, China’s Yueyang region sweltered though an unprecedentedly elevated low of 32C during its dark hours, with dangerously high humidity.
The geographic range of all-time national records is staggering. Mexico tied its peak of 52C at Tepache on 20 June. On the other side of the world, the Australian territory of Cocos Islands tied its all-time high with 32.8C on 7 April for the third time this year. But the fiercest heat has concentrated on the tropics. On 7 June, Egypt registered a national high of 50.9C at Aswan. Two days before that Chad tied its national record of 48C at Faya. On 1 May, Ghana hit a new peak of 44.6C at Navrong, while Laos entered new heat territory with 43.7C at Tha Ngon. Herrera said the tropics had set records every day for 15 months in a row.
The European Union’s leading monitoring agency, the Copernicus Climate Change Service, recently reported that June was the 13th month in a row to set a monthly temperature record, with temperatures 1.5C above the preindustrial average, bringing more intense heatwaves, extreme rainfall events and droughts; reductions in ice sheets, sea ice, and glaciers, as well as accelerated sea-level rise and ocean heating. There is no end in sight for unwelcome records, according to Carlo Buontempo, the director of Copernicus: “Even if this specific streak of extremes ends at some point, we are bound to see new records being broken as the climate continues to warm. This is inevitable unless we stop adding greenhouse gases into the atmosphere and the oceans.”
Hopes of a cooling have so far proved elusive. The preliminary data from the Copernicus ERA5 satellite suggests that 22 July was the hottest day in the Earth’s recorded history, with an average global surface air temperature of 17.15C. Herrera said he hoped extreme weather alerts could prepare the world for what was coming and reduce threats to lives, infrastructure and economies. “It’s during extreme weather that we humans and other species are under stress or at risk, so it’s when we are more potentially vulnerable,” he said.
The Guardenia
From a personal perspective, this summer's been rubbish - too much rain as the jet stream was so far South it trapped all kinds of Arctic weather across the British Isles. On the plus side, however, my mossy gardens have really soaked it all in.
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we really need to stop all jets, particularly those related to pointless and waste full tourism
10% of all fossil fuel emissions just so folk can fly to far off destinations and degrade where ever they go- even worse the clowns that go on eco holidays to admire wilderness
There're all kinds of reasons why Donald J. Trump must be stopped from inflicting another four years on the world but the best one is contained within the pages of Project 2025 which would result in billions of tonnes of extra carbon pollution, wrecking the US’s climate targets, as well as wiping out clean energy investments and more than a million jobs.
Should Trump retake the White House and pass the energy and environmental policies in the controversial Project 2025 document, the US’s planet-heating emissions will “significantly increase” by 2.7bn tonnes above the current trajectory by 2030, an amount comparable to the entire annual emissions of India, according to a new report...the former president has distanced himself from it, even though 140 people who worked in the last Trump administration contributed to it. JD Vance, Trump’s running mate, wrote the foreword to a book by a leader of Project 2025.
Project 2025 calls for a widespread evisceration of environmental protections, allowing for a glut of new oil and gas drilling, the repeal of the IRA and even the elimination of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Weather Service so they can be replaced by private companies. The conservative Heritage Foundation, which leads Project 2025, has said a new Trump administration should “eradicate climate change references from absolutely everywhere”.
In his own commitments, Trump has promised to “drill, baby, drill” for more oil and gas, and to eliminate Biden-era policies that spur the take-up of electric cars. A previous analysis of Trump’s plans by Carbon Brief estimated the impact of his new administration would be even greater than in the latest study, adding an extra 4bn tonnes of greenhouse gases by 2030.
However, even if Harris wins and secures the Biden climate policies there is still a significant gap to getting the US to net zero. Energy Innovation said that further actions, such as cutting pollution from buildings, restoring degraded land and new regulations upon industry and energy use, will be required if the climate targets are to be hit.
the Green Garundia
Should Trump retake the White House and pass the energy and environmental policies in the controversial Project 2025 document, the US’s planet-heating emissions will “significantly increase” by 2.7bn tonnes above the current trajectory by 2030, an amount comparable to the entire annual emissions of India, according to a new report...the former president has distanced himself from it, even though 140 people who worked in the last Trump administration contributed to it. JD Vance, Trump’s running mate, wrote the foreword to a book by a leader of Project 2025.
Project 2025 calls for a widespread evisceration of environmental protections, allowing for a glut of new oil and gas drilling, the repeal of the IRA and even the elimination of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Weather Service so they can be replaced by private companies. The conservative Heritage Foundation, which leads Project 2025, has said a new Trump administration should “eradicate climate change references from absolutely everywhere”.
In his own commitments, Trump has promised to “drill, baby, drill” for more oil and gas, and to eliminate Biden-era policies that spur the take-up of electric cars. A previous analysis of Trump’s plans by Carbon Brief estimated the impact of his new administration would be even greater than in the latest study, adding an extra 4bn tonnes of greenhouse gases by 2030.
However, even if Harris wins and secures the Biden climate policies there is still a significant gap to getting the US to net zero. Energy Innovation said that further actions, such as cutting pollution from buildings, restoring degraded land and new regulations upon industry and energy use, will be required if the climate targets are to be hit.
the Green Garundia
These record temperatures are caused by a strong El Nino. That presents a danger to those who want faster action on climate change. The last time records were broken like this, in the late 1990s, it gave the climate change sceptics an opportunity. Because that late 90s spike in temperatures was so big, it was several years until new records were set. As a result, throughout the noughties, the sceptics managed to argue that global warming had stopped and this slowed down the move to lower carbon emissions. I've seen it called a lost decade. I remember Nigel Lawson playing a big role.
https://www.theatlantic.com/science...warming-really-pause-during-the-2000s/525645/
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The effects this time are greater than usual. It's also been around for rather a long time but knowledge is limited to more recent history.
LOL Really. The debate around the mid 90's revolved around a mismatch between tree ring data and others. Politics know from their end that solutions are difficult and expensive so this argument won. It was used to argue that nothing was happening. COP 1 was then a complete waste of time. More recently gas was deemed cleaner than oil so all went home happy but decided there really is a problem longer ago. Gas is not a solution. It's just a view keeping some happy. Dishing it completely quickly has it's issues.
Part of climate conditions relates to temperature spread across the globe. So while some dramatic highs far away may seem to not matter more water vapour finishes up in the air. THis can also interfere with both air flow globally and sea currents,
China - regularly spends more on greening than the rest of the world combined. Lots of our CO2 is hidden in imports.
National pledges to cut greenhouse gas emissions fall significantly short of those needed to limit catastrophic global warming, says the United Nations before climate change negotiations next month. The “nationally determined contributions” (NDCs) are enough to cut global emissions by 2.6 percent from 2019 to 2030, up from 2 percent last year, the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) said in its annual assessment.
But they hardly equate the 43 percent cut that scientists say is required to stay within reach of a Paris Agreement target to limit global temperature rises to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit), the body warned, referring to the 2015 global agreement to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
The forum for conjuring up more ambitious pledges will be the COP29 climate talks beginning in two weeks in the Azerbaijani capital of Baku. Nearly 200 countries will devise a new global emissions trading system as well as a $100bn annual financial package to help developing countries meet their climate goals.
In a separate report, the UN’s weather monitoring body on Monday said greenhouse gases have been accumulating in the atmosphere “faster than any time experienced during human existence” over the last two decades. Last year’s increase in CO2 concentrations, the second largest annual rise of the last decade, could have been driven by a surge in forest fires, with the carbon released from Canada’s worst-ever wildfire season exceeding the annual emissions of most major countries.
CO2 concentrations are now 51 percent higher than pre-industrial levels, while methane – another potent greenhouse gas – is 165 percent higher than in 1750, WMO said. The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) on Thursday warned of a chasm between what countries have promised and what they must achieve.
Al Jazz
But they hardly equate the 43 percent cut that scientists say is required to stay within reach of a Paris Agreement target to limit global temperature rises to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit), the body warned, referring to the 2015 global agreement to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
The forum for conjuring up more ambitious pledges will be the COP29 climate talks beginning in two weeks in the Azerbaijani capital of Baku. Nearly 200 countries will devise a new global emissions trading system as well as a $100bn annual financial package to help developing countries meet their climate goals.
In a separate report, the UN’s weather monitoring body on Monday said greenhouse gases have been accumulating in the atmosphere “faster than any time experienced during human existence” over the last two decades. Last year’s increase in CO2 concentrations, the second largest annual rise of the last decade, could have been driven by a surge in forest fires, with the carbon released from Canada’s worst-ever wildfire season exceeding the annual emissions of most major countries.
CO2 concentrations are now 51 percent higher than pre-industrial levels, while methane – another potent greenhouse gas – is 165 percent higher than in 1750, WMO said. The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) on Thursday warned of a chasm between what countries have promised and what they must achieve.
Al Jazz
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