If your house is wired with two lighting circuits (usually upstairs and downstairs) then USUALLY all of the downstairs lights will be on the same circuit. So USUALLY the upstairs light will not be on the same circuit as your problem one.The 2 nearest are the lounge and the upstairs light, how do I know which is the previous light?
Electricians USUALLY will use the shortest or easiest cable route from point A to point B so the lounge light would be a decent guess.
There are better, more certain ways of determining this than guesswork, but you would need time, competence and the right test gear……