Stock market dealing

$YANG may be more the thing to go for now....

Stops set under everything. The reality of a Trump governance may be dawning for some stocks.
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$YANG may be more the thing to go for now....

Stops set under everything. The reality of a Trump governance may be dawning for some stocks.
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I got out of everything before Powell last night except for crypto related and Peloton.
 
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I ignored Powell :) . EEvryone expected 0.25 and he would have been derided for anything different, though 0% wouldn't have hurt.
Some things have hit stops, those which didn't have been going ridicuously well.
$YANG was right, but only for 5%.

Upstart was one on the watchlist which triggered an early buy for , I forget 40%?, but there was no shortage of things to get profits from.

"Numinus Health" is trying a play with psychedelics to relieve things like PTSD.
Their stock kicked up late Thursday by 20 odd %, . Watched that and took a lump for 50% on Friday. It may have follow-on..

One of my watchlists is small nuclear plus quantum computing stocks. Several of those have been suitable to jump on recently.

ANyone with half an eye on things bought the obvious one, Tesla? I've been using that x3 in the ISAs. I missed the absolute bottom, but mine has doubled in the last couple of days. I imagine Musk will be doiing more dances and Trump more smiles to push that one up.

Anyone sceptical that there's money to be made needs to give their head a wobble.....

I can't help thinking how life would have been different if I'd discovered this when I was young.
 
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I can't help thinking how life would have been different if I'd discovered this when I was young.
What would you have done? Most of us get too busy to do something like this. Very hard to drop out of what you already have in life to do it. Perhaps you might have had time at university to do it, but probably not the inclination or means. You could have done it professionally? On a trading floor, with everyone screaming at each other. That's how it used to be. And money seems to corrupt so much in those places. I still can't understand why professional traders have to get into work at 6am or whatever, but it sounds awful.
 
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Most of us get too busy to do something like this. Very hard to drop out of what you already have in life to do it.
You're using present tense so - a definite NO.
Building society return now 5%
market return say 25% in a year. Or take a little time to pick a fund or two and get more. I keep quoting India 50%. Very little time taken

You can very definitely do successful trading evenings only, or weekend only. I know people who do. Notifications by phone.....
Some trades are very predictable so you could start with those. Make rules, stick to them and you can win a little, reliably. Trouble is that little isn't enough % but you should learn from all that. Use a practice account to prove it works. Then you make it your job. Then you have plenty of time. 1% a day is x13 in a year.

In the old days, I did dabble but it was all by phone and a subscription to the FT.. Sure, it's all 1000% easier now. Dog you can even watch and follow a youtube stream... The first online platforms appeared about when people went online - certainly in the 90's.

STarting with 20k it took less than 3 months to get a year's pay, I showed the bank accounts here, because people were saying it can't be done etc etc etc.

Yes you have to learn some rules, and stop yourself going on things like "I felt this " and "I though that xxx was likely". That's how to lose.
Learn a couple of good setups you've back-tested or tried many times on a practice platform. If you don't see one occur, don't open a trade. WHen you do, use enough shareage to make a decent gain, having worked out how much you would go down if it doesn't work. Make sure that's not enough to kill you.
Something like a well observed range trade should win better than say 3 in 4.
Well observed means checking about a dozen things, most of which are at a glance.
Don't go by just ONE of them being right, but MANY of them being right.
Learn when they come up - ie they're unlikely just after the open but common later in the day..

Keep learning more setups. Write them down.

.
STILL, the biggest inhibitor is the mind. All the silly excuses come out. Being scared is natural, so you have to be happy treat the money as just a number. You have to be aware of those automatic thoughts and deal with them. You have to be aware that if you're careless, or impatient, you will lose. Develop an inner parent telling you what to do. Use your learned rules, Only enter a trade if the rules are satisfied.

So - arbu you've done most of the bold things wrong at some time or another, I remember specifically the red ones.
Write all your rules down. If you don't have them, or get lazy about applying them, you will probably lose, then blame the world, when it's your fault. You've done that many many times.

The mental aspect os addressed in "Trading in the zone" by Mark Douglas. It's available as a free pdf. Try http://backtothefuturetrading.com/docs/Trading in the Zone complete and formatted - Mark_Douglas.pdf
 
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It's easy to not mention what seems like the obvious, but may not be to someone not watching.
Bitcoin has reached 80000. It was 30000 or so that year-and-a -bit ago when I started. Growth of 150% in a year is ok, but the btc related stocks have done much better.
You don't have to go through the faff of getting a bitcoin wallet and secret key, you can just use the ETFs.
They all go up and down, but there's always a sentiment you can tap into, such as both Harris' and Trumps's support for it.
Trump say btc will be used to pay off the national debt, bless.
Coibase, just a few days to date:
1731249963964.png


Then there are always other "momentum" stocks which people buy because people are buying them because the price is going up. Your timing willl never be optimal, but grabbing a chunk isn't hard.

Always buy when it's going up, and watch for a bit. if it goes up 10% a day fror a week, you can relax and hold if you want to, when next week it drops 20%.
Those btc related stocks are a bit easier, in that you can watch the btc price overnight as it's traded 24/7.

Anothe with momentum is Palantir. That's for good reason but the P/E Ratio looks silly now. There's a 3x Pltr too:
1731250415257.png


ALso Nvidia and some of the rest of the "Magnificent 7"
Then you sell and hold the cash. If there's a consistent fall, there are minus 1,2,3 ETFs too.

Get familiar with a stock screener, those buy Finviz or Tradingview are good for stocks, and ETFs.
For longer term, go to ii, investengine, AJBell, Fidelity etc etc and look at their screeners. HL's is good for ETF as you can display many on one chart.
Most don't let you put shares and ETFs on together
 
Small nuclear is fashionable - for supplying power to data centres and bitcoin miners.
SMR is in the limelight but BWXT is there too but less bouyant. This is not a tip, it's just an observation.
I know nothing about them
 
I still can't understand why professional traders have to get into work at 6am or whatever, but it sounds awful.
Bakers and farmers are up before that!

I do know something of what they do and why. So do you.
They do it so they can earn more.
If you learned a bit about what they do, you could take advantage. I'm astonished you don't know.

How long do you think it takes to prepare this (below) before the market opens?
This was Friday - I read through it enough times that I remember enough of it if something moves.
Normally traders have to prepare their own.

Arbu you seem to have the idea that you should be able to make a few guesses based on whatever crosses your mind, and make money.
That's not going to happen reliably. Long-time traders get to recognise things without realising it. n But I'm nowhere near that, and I don't think you are either.
This is available free, every day. Do you even look at it? Do you actually want to make some money? Up to you. It's perfectly possible to put a couple of zeroes on the end of your pot in a year. or more if you want. I have the T shirts. That x100 takes less than 10% per week. x1000 is 14%.
Take these notes for Friday - you'll see that 10% a week is a breeze.

There was 6% to be had from TSLA, etc etc. Leverage it and it's x5=30%. .
COINbase is ripping. 9% Friday. x5 = 45% I didn't use it. Other stocks were doing better.
My coin x 3 is up 30% just today, monday, and it's only 3:40 am. Stops are set.

You can ONLY get these % if the stock is on your radar and you are watching. You won't get the best first time, quite often, so you change

From TTV:

Economic Events:

1000 - UMich consumer sentiment (prelim) for November: Expected 71; Prior 70.5

1000 - UMich 5-yr inflation expectations (prelim) for November: Expected 3%; Prior 3%

1000 - UMich 1-yr inflation expectations (prelim) for November: Expected 2.7%; Prior 2.7%

1100 - Fed’s Bowman speaks

Premarket Trading:

Trading Higher ($): SMCI, LCID, UPST

Trading Lower ($): DJT, PHUN, DKNG

Earnings Today:

Premarket: CGC, ERJ, SONY

Post-market: CEPU, FF


QQQ_nov_8.JPG

In The News


Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)

+4.12%

Continuing to trade higher premarket after closing 12% higher on Friday. The stock has been rebounding following a series of setbacks for the company, including the resignation of its independent auditor and its delayed 10-K filing. Super Micro has a 20.1% short float.


DraftKings Inc (DKNG)

-6.00%

Trading sharply lower premarket following its earnings report. Losses of $0.17 per share were narrower than the expected $0.42-per-share loss, but sales of $1.095 billion missed estimates of $1.112 billion. The company lowered its fiscal 2024 revenue guidance to a range between $4.85 billion and $4.95 billion, missing estimates of $5.139 billion.


Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST)

+19.87%

Gapping up following its earnings report, with loss of $0.07 per share and sales of $162.14 million beating analysts estimates of a $0.15-per-share loss and $150.22 million in sales. The company reported year-over-year and sequential growth in total fee revenue and lending volume, and guided $180 million in revenue for Q4.


Chinese ADRs

-4.56%

Trading sharply lower premarket, matching losses for both the CSI 300 and Hang Sang Index during Friday’s session in China. The week-long meeting of the National People’s Congress Standing Committee, which is expected to discuss the logistics of a potential stimulus package, is coming to an end on Friday. Investors are closely watching for announcements on local government debt refinancing and potential fiscal stimulus to counter economic concerns and geopolitical risks.

BABA, BIDU, BILI, PDD, JD, LI, XPEV, NIO, ZK, KWEB, FXI


Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN)

+0.30%

On watch following its Q3 2024 earnings report. Losses of $0.99 per share were wider than the expected $0.92-per-share loss, and sales of $874 million missed estimates of $1 billion. Operating expenses for the quarter dropped on a year-over-year basis, and the company noted $6.74 billion in cash and equivalents by the end of the quarter. CEO RJ Scaringe said that Rivian is looking to reach positive gross profit for Q4 2024.


Airbnb Inc (ABNB)

-6.43%

Trading sharply lower premarket following its earnings report. GAAP earnings of $2.13 per share missed estimates of $2.16, and sales of $3.7 billion missed estimates of $3.72 billion. The company guided Q4 revenue between $2.39 billion and $2.44 billion, well below the expected $3.717 billion, and forecasts sequential growth for Nights and Experiences bookings.


Affirm Holdings Inc (AFRM)

-2.13%

Trading lower premarket following its earnings report. The company reported losses of $0.31 per share, better than the expected $0.35-per-share loss, and sales of $698.479 million beat estimates of $664.014 million. Affirm reported a 25% increase in transactions per active consumer and an 11% increase in trailing 12-month GMV per active consumer. The company guided Q2 revenue between $770 million and $810 million.


Trump Media and Phunware

-6.72%

Continuing to sell off as a pair following the election of Donald Trump. The stocks initially gapped up on Wednesday morning, when Trump’s victory was announced, but pared early gains and traded sharply lower on Thursday. Phunware is additionally on watch following its earnings report; the company reported a smaller-than-expected loss per share, though sales of $665,000 came in sharply below the estimate of $1.31 million.

DJT, PHUN


Lucid Group Inc (LCID)

+2.70%

Trading higher premarket with volume after posting stronger-than-expected Q3 2024 earnings. Sales of $200.04 million beat estimates of $197.97 million, and losses of $0.28 were narrower than the expected loss of $0.30. Lucid reported year-over-year increases in its Q3 vehicle production and deliveries, maintaining its production target of 9,000 vehicles for fiscal 2024.


Vision Marine Technologies Inc (VMAR)

+41.84%

Gapping up after regaining Nasdaq listing compliance. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.34 million and a float of 650,000 shares, approximately 15.4% of which are sold short.



** Big Moves Friday! #Earnings & Trade Setups! ** **
$SMCI**: Target 25.50L dip buys or break 27 for a long.
** $TSLA**: Solid at 300L, momentum break like we saw yday at 290. ; or watch for dip near 293.
** $DKNG**: 35.50L - Strong rebound; watch support post-earnings!

** $FXI**: 32.50SS - Short bias; stimulus may fall short.
** $AFRM**: 52L rebound; 7.7% short interest - worth a look!
** $NVDA**: Long at 147, watch for 150 break! Again, just get the money in at the right spot. also like $AAPL breaking over $228, nice level here.
 
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No, I don't read it. How would it have helped me to know that Supermicro was up in pre-trading? It went down for the rest of the session.

But, as I mentioned, I am in some bitcoin related stocks. If bitcoin can keep going up 20% a week I will indeed have a lot of money (along with a lot of other people of course). So maybe it goes to $1bn in a year. Or more probably not. But then how to know when to get out? Just make an estimate of how high I think it can go on the Trump Boost maybe?
 
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Stopped out on nuscale:

11/11/2024​
NuScale Power CorporationDFB
-£202.20​
DEALDIAAAANN4MWDKAE
2238.4​
2137.3​
2​
£
-202.2​
FALSE​
2024-11-11T15:04:332024-11-08T19:01:59GBP
 
Which platforms are you guys using with low dealing commission? (Or are you training high enough volumes that the brokerage becomes insignificant?)
 
No, I don't read it. How would it have helped me to know that Supermicro was up in pre-trading? It went down for the rest of the session.
Really useful that one, just for you, it gave you something to moan about. It means you can save energy right there and discount the whole list.:rolleyes:
.
One of the classic technical charting indicators points to BTC top at $320. Another, around $100.

There are billions waiting to sell at $100, which could crash the price - for a while anyway. It would make sense to sell some at $99.

Remarkable day today. 150% in the trading account, and ~about 70 in the S&S ISA.. I didn't get it all, but even so...

- Strange you were looking at NuScale - so was I, because it shot up. I've been playing with MACD and its settings, which I thought indicated the stock was going to dive where it did. That gave a good trade to start the session, about 12%. (x5 per usual).
I don't know if you'rve used macd a lot or none, but the difference shows the lower one is better for scalpy trades.
It helped the decision to get in early, I closed when the trace cut the green trend line, near where I guess you entered. You didn't go short, did you? I remember thinking it would probably grind its way back up, when it was clear it wasn't going to make a V, so I left it. I was elsewhere after that.

1731376178439.png



ANdy - you'll probably see nothing on those macd lines, it's a bit subtle. Basically they indicate a change in the rate of rate of change. A double derivative, if you can remember your maffs. The slight differences in the wiggles above "11" are signficant

Brokers/platforms,
For a start use a practice one - those are free and you lose no money at all. It's imaginary money so you don't make any either.

I'm looking for a better platform for daily stuff. The ones I'm using are crappy!
I've looked at a few of the "free" ones, they're generally rather noddy, or dire to use.
Mosty I've used eToro and Trading 212.
I can give you a list of faults with both of them.
Each does things the other doesn't.
You can't trade cryptos on T212, but they have a range of ETFs , which I prefer to use anyway. EToro's ETF range is more limited, but that may not bother you because you shouldn't be using the fancy ones yet - you'll lose your shirt.
It's too late to muck about with Bitcoin, perhaps, it's at 88991 as I tap, and will be doing odd things at 100k.
You don't want to buy at a peak.
T212 is better set out, eToro is very odd, many think. You get used to them of course but to my mind eToro's is stupid.

EToro DOES have both take-profit stops and stop losses,, on the part you'll use.
T212 only allows one not both.
eToro also allows trailing stops.
T212 has those on its CFD platform, but stay away from that for a while.
On eToro it's free to go short over night if you're not leveraged. You can't do that free on T212.
I expect you're confuddled by now.??

FOr long term stuff I use T212 a bit, Hargreaves Landsdown a bit, a couple of banks a bit, and Interactive Investor. You can have shares at all those but most are slow/ too few fancy features,
I still use banks because I wouldn't trust T212 not to evaporate. Many like them are East European run. They are "EU/FCSA" regulated, but .....
You're right, if you have a squillion quid somewhere not only does the rate of fees drop, but having them easy to get along with is more important, plus the range of funds.
You can have several brokers - it's free for the beginners' ones.
The easiest half-ok one to start with I would say is T212, if you want to buy and sell a few shares.
Their help people are equally useless. I asked someone at eToro if I could have white on black instead of b on w, and they didn't know!

If you want to do what I do, using leverage at 5:1, you can wait until you think it's going up - based on a few things.Atthe monet it's usually a no brainer - it's likely to go up most days. For Bitcoin you would use one of the ETFs, which go up faster. MARA is one I use a lot, sometimes MSTR or COIN or HUT8. You can do this at either eToro or T212.
Then with say £1000 you "open a position". which can be (nominally) up to £5k using your £1k.
MARA often goes up 8% if bitcoin goes up not much. So your £5k goes to £5k + 8% = £5400.
Then you close the position.
You have made £400 on your £1k. which is 40%. (also 5x 8% = 40% of course.)

Most days there's a stock from a predictable few which rises or falls significantly. Often a bitcoin one. At the moment we're spoilt for choice - bitcoin relateds or Tesla or a chip stock, often Nvidia. Or Google or Meta or Palantir.. Or stock afer good earnings results, or Elon gurned or a Boeing door hinge was faulty or someone got sick in McDonalds or an orange clown got elected.
Work the numbers - if you get 20% of change, spread between a number of stocks, (up or down doesn't matter) then at 5:1 you've doubled your money. I don't want to make it sound easier than it is, but when you're getting free advice what stocks to be looking at...??? How many days....?
 
I’ll stick to premium bonds, much less hassle, tax free and every one is a free monthly lottery ticket.
 
I’ll stick to premium bonds, much less hassle, tax free and every one is a free monthly lottery ticket.
It's guaranteed to lose value as it will not keep up with inflation

unless you seriously believe you will win a million,

A low cost tracker can be expected to give better results over the years.

Negligible effort required.

Are you contributing to a pension scheme?
 
Really useful that one, just for you, it gave you something to moan about. It means you can save energy right there and discount the whole list.:rolleyes:
.
One of the classic technical charting indicators points to BTC top at $320. Another, around $100.

There are billions waiting to sell at $100, which could crash the price - for a while anyway. It would make sense to sell some at $99.

Remarkable day today. 150% in the trading account, and ~about 70 in the S&S ISA.. I didn't get it all, but even so...

- Strange you were looking at NuScale - so was I, because it shot up. I've been playing with MACD and its settings, which I thought indicated the stock was going to dive where it did. That gave a good trade to start the session, about 12%. (x5 per usual).
I don't know if you'rve used macd a lot or none, but the difference shows the lower one is better for scalpy trades.
It helped the decision to get in early, I closed when the trace cut the green trend line, near where I guess you entered. You didn't go short, did you? I remember thinking it would probably grind its way back up, when it was clear it wasn't going to make a V, so I left it. I was elsewhere after that.

View attachment 362536


ANdy - you'll probably see nothing on those macd lines, it's a bit subtle. Basically they indicate a change in the rate of rate of change. A double derivative, if you can remember your maffs. The slight differences in the wiggles above "11" are signficant

Brokers/platforms,
For a start use a practice one - those are free and you lose no money at all. It's imaginary money so you don't make any either.

I'm looking for a better platform for daily stuff. The ones I'm using are crappy!
I've looked at a few of the "free" ones, they're generally rather noddy, or dire to use.
Mosty I've used eToro and Trading 212.
I can give you a list of faults with both of them.
Each does things the other doesn't.
You can't trade cryptos on T212, but they have a range of ETFs , which I prefer to use anyway. EToro's ETF range is more limited, but that may not bother you because you shouldn't be using the fancy ones yet - you'll lose your shirt.
It's too late to muck about with Bitcoin, perhaps, it's at 88991 as I tap, and will be doing odd things at 100k.
You don't want to buy at a peak.
T212 is better set out, eToro is very odd, many think. You get used to them of course but to my mind eToro's is stupid.

EToro DOES have both take-profit stops and stop losses,, on the part you'll use.
T212 only allows one not both.
eToro also allows trailing stops.
T212 has those on its CFD platform, but stay away from that for a while.
On eToro it's free to go short over night if you're not leveraged. You can't do that free on T212.
I expect you're confuddled by now.??

FOr long term stuff I use T212 a bit, Hargreaves Landsdown a bit, a couple of banks a bit, and Interactive Investor. You can have shares at all those but most are slow/ too few fancy features,
I still use banks because I wouldn't trust T212 not to evaporate. Many like them are East European run. They are "EU/FCSA" regulated, but .....
You're right, if you have a squillion quid somewhere not only does the rate of fees drop, but having them easy to get along with is more important, plus the range of funds.
You can have several brokers - it's free for the beginners' ones.
The easiest half-ok one to start with I would say is T212, if you want to buy and sell a few shares.
Their help people are equally useless. I asked someone at eToro if I could have white on black instead of b on w, and they didn't know!

If you want to do what I do, using leverage at 5:1, you can wait until you think it's going up - based on a few things.Atthe monet it's usually a no brainer - it's likely to go up most days. For Bitcoin you would use one of the ETFs, which go up faster. MARA is one I use a lot, sometimes MSTR or COIN or HUT8. You can do this at either eToro or T212.
Then with say £1000 you "open a position". which can be (nominally) up to £5k using your £1k.
MARA often goes up 8% if bitcoin goes up not much. So your £5k goes to £5k + 8% = £5400.
Then you close the position.
You have made £400 on your £1k. which is 40%. (also 5x 8% = 40% of course.)

Most days there's a stock from a predictable few which rises or falls significantly. Often a bitcoin one. At the moment we're spoilt for choice - bitcoin relateds or Tesla or a chip stock, often Nvidia. Or Google or Meta or Palantir.. Or stock afer good earnings results, or Elon gurned or a Boeing door hinge was faulty or someone got sick in McDonalds or an orange clown got elected.
Work the numbers - if you get 20% of change, spread between a number of stocks, (up or down doesn't matter) then at 5:1 you've doubled your money. I don't want to make it sound easier than it is, but when you're getting free advice what stocks to be looking at...??? How many days....?
Thanks for the write up.

I’ll try the T212 platforms and see how it goes. I use II for my SIPP and separately I’ve used Halifax Sharedealing account (Share ISA)…I think both of those are slow (and expensive) for doing trades…especially the Halifax account.

I definitely need to do some practicing/ fee go at doing this.

A lot of what you said makes sense, although the leverage sounds a bit risky (assuming the downside can be x 5 the losses as well).
 
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