I wasn't saying the problem is common but, if it does occur, I think it far more likely that the conductors have become warm from the current, rather than the weather, and expand, however minutely, and, because the can only go sideways, when they cool they will be looser and a slightly different shape.
I wasn't suggesting that you had said that it was common, but I was genuinely interested in discovering how often you (or any other electrician) actually encounter real 'problems' as a result of screw terminals in JBs becoming loose - as I said, in my very limited experience, I cannot recall ever having seen a case. To keep this in context, can you remember roughly how long ago you last saw a case of a serious problem (serious overheating, or even a fire) in a traditional screw-terminal JB?
I agree with what you say above about a theoretically possible/probable mechanism.
They won't force the screw to undo will they?
I wouldn't have thought so. However, as I said before, once the conductor has become loose (maybe/probably by the mechanism you mention above), the screw will more-or-less inevitably also be loose - and hence presumably at risk of 'rattling' even looser.
Has no one ever found a screw in a box or socket that can be tightened a bit more? Whether this is because of the above or the installer being weaker, how could we know?
I would imagine that most, if not all, of us will have experienced that but, as you say, one will never know for sure whether that has 'happened' or whether it was 'always like that'. However, although I've seen plenty of examples of that, I don't think I've ever seen a case in which there was any evidence (signs of overheating etc., let alone more) that any 'problem' had resulted. [FWIW, I would add that, as I've mentioned before, whilst I accept that they are not usually 'simple screw terminals' in the normal sense, if I do up MCB/RCD etc. terminals to the manufacturer's recommended torque, I can nearly always tighten it a fair bit more by hand. In other words, 'left to my own devices' I would probably tighten more than the manufacturer recommends]
I suppose it should not happen to the cpc terminals as much but I've never taken much notice. Shower switches with high current seem to suffer more and once it starts it gets worse.
Yes, (although a bit tangential to the context of this discussion, which is really about non-MF JBs) the seemingly fairly common problem with shower switches (which, again, I've never personally seen) would be consistent with your postulated mechanism and, as you say, it would be further supported if you found that loosening was more common with live conductors than with CPCs. Mind you, psychology/human nature might work against you here, since there could well be a subconscious tendency not to tighten CPCs so conscientiously or 'vigorously'!
Kind Regards, John