Cheap means weak, a currency with reduced value no strength or trust not a good place to be
when you buy cheap its a risk a punt as the system the mechanism behind it is untrusted off low value ??
BNP expects that the Bank of England (BoE) will have to increase interest rates further, but does not consider that market expectations of rate hikes to 5.75% will be met which will sap currency support.
It also considers that the BoE is in a no-win situation.
Even if the central bank continues to raise rates, BNP also expects that market confidence in Sterling would suffer to the perception of a long-term inflation problem.
It adds; “Both of these developments would be GBP-negative, in our view.”
The bank also maintains a negative stance on UK fundamentals. It adds; “We expect GBP to remain structurally weak due to UK growth underperforming its peers, remaining below-trend, and its persistent current-account deficit that requires foreign funding.”
Overall, BNP expects that the Euro to Pound (EUR/GBP) exchange rate will trade close to 0.88 during the forecast period.