Some of my outdoor LED lights are 15 years old and still working trouble free.
They would be
And why shouldn't they?
My home Dec 2022:
The light on the barge boards were new 2022, doesn't show in the pic but blue and gold in tribute to the Ukraine invasion.
The tree on the left is 4 sets of 500, 3 of which I can't put a date on and sadly now decommisioned due to being chewed by foxes 2023, however due to their reliability of a number of years I used the same products to replace the patio lights, I noticed the date whilst packing them away so now used for 9 seasons.
those (5 sets) marked 2014 had previously been used around the garden along the wooden fence panels for about 3 or 4 years but were what I would describe as cheap junk and seems some lasted only 5 or 6 years. However one set of those can be seen as yellow above the fence to the right of the tree, this year the ground was too wet to risk erecting a step ladder so that 'cheap set' has clocked up 15 years but despite looking worse for wear and a couple of repairs (yes some have the ability to make soldered repairs) is still functional. As to end of life? some of those were repurposed when my grandson made a nativity scene as a competition at school, at the time he would have been 6 or 7 and wanted me to add lights and the following year a disco scene... ah ah no. I taught him to use a soldering iron to do it himself and filmed him doing it for the benefit of the judges.
The lights on the right have clocked up 7 (corrected typo) seasons since this:
they replaced 40x 3W of incancescent (hence the 'LEDs' notation) which I inherited as old when my parents passed in 1993 (and a member on another forum site now owns for theatre work).
So I take it back, I withdraw the '15 years trouble free' comment as the only set I'm 100% certain has functioned for that long has been repaired a couple of times
The tree lights of ~ 2012 ish era and home made star (looks better in the dark) taken 2021
I have no expectation that any of the above is suddenly likely to disintregate.