I suspect trade with the EU may drop by a small amount, which will ultimately be compensated for by increased trade with other parts of the world.
You're regurgitating old comments.
A sure sign that you've exhausted your arguments.
Not really - I think that I and other anti-EU people have presented a fairly broad range of reasons as to why the U.K. should be out. The only argument the pro-EU side seems to be able to come up with and keeps repeating is how trade with the EU will plummet, jobs will be lost because of that, resulting in economic crisis etc. - The "doom and gloom" sceanrio for British manufacturing and employment, which simply has nothing to back it up.
There are about 3.4 million jobs dependent on export to EU.
PBC_1966 said:
Dependent in what sense? Are you really trying to suggest that if exports to the EU started to decline that 3.4 million jobs would be lost?
Himaginn said:
Certainly under jeopardy. How many would be lost, and over what kind of time frame is difficult to predict.
That's one of your comments about the jobs, thanks. But now you've just admitted that even though you think that trade with the EU will be decimated, or worse, that you can't predict any such job losses. So if you can't be sure that any of those jobs would be lost following a withdrawal from the EU, how can you claim that 3.4 million jobs are
dependent upon continued membership of the EU?
But there may be a further influence. If EU imports to UK become more expensive (tit for tat tariffs) the the cost of living in UK could rise significantly, thus reducing disposable income, thus reducing domestic consumption, thus jeopardising further job losses.
And that would be down to the U.K. government of the time to keep under control, just as in the past. But as you've pointed out before, you're now into the realms of "maybe" and "if" anyway.
In jeopardy means that they could be lost. It doesn't mean they would be lost or devastation. It means there is a possibility of them being lost.
Then it's wrong to suggest that they are
dependent upon continued EU membership, since that is clearly not necessarily the case.
RUK = Rest of UK (after Scotland exits UK), i.e. breakup of UK.
Ah, O.K. But again, that's getting into more "ifs" about what might happen later.