UFO's

Why?
With a choice as you say of billions :D

Well, there are many many stars in the universe, but most of them are not likely to have a life-friendly rock whizzing round them.

Of the few remaining likely planets, if life were to spring up, life on earth had a mighty long journey before we turned up:

Basic timelineLife on Earth

3.8 billion years of simple cells (prokaryotes),
3 billion years of photosynthesis,
2 billion years of complex cells (eukaryotes),
1 billion years of multicellular life,
600 million years of simple animals,
570 million years of arthropods (ancestors of insects, arachnids and crustaceans),
550 million years of complex animals,
500 million years of fish and proto-amphibians,
475 million years of land plants,
400 million years of insects and seeds,
360 million years of amphibians,
300 million years of reptiles,
200 million years of mammals,
150 million years of birds,
130 million years of flowers,
65 million years since the non-avian dinosaurs died out,
2.5 million years since the appearance of the genus Homo,
200,000 years since humans started looking like they do today,
25,000 years since Neanderthals died out.
(courtesy of wikipedia)...

our ability to 'make contact' has only been in the last hundred years or so...and in the next hundred years, or even thousand years, robots might have taken over the planet, or we may well have destroyed it ourselves.

So what are the chances of our 1000 year window of opportunity overlapping with another planets?
 
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Billions.
thats a bit like saying if have two dice with 100 faces... what are the chances of rolling both and getting the same number? err hundreds.!!!

no, it's one in ten thousand throws !!!!
 
You give me the accurate count of possible stars and planets orbiting that can possibly contain life and i`ll give you fixed odds :p
 
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it's a bit like you have a grain of sand, and you can pick any beach, and go find your grain of sands twin... and when you find it, i'll give you a tenner !! good luck!!!
 
But dont you want odds for or against that tenner?

Give me the numbers and i`ll lay off odds.
 
But dont you want odds for or against that tenner?

Give me the numbers and i`ll lay off odds.

err no !! don't need a bookie, but a sensible scientific, reasoned answer might suffice !!
 
You're assuming that technological civilsations only last for an average of a thousand years, what are you basing this assumption of yours on?
 
You're assuming that technological civilsations only last for an average of a thousand years, what are you basing this assumption of yours on?

you know that no one has any evidence to support that except the human race.... and the more we develop the quicker we evolve into robots !!
 
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