Harris currently leads national polls by about 3
percentage points on
average, but the Electoral College is what actually determines the outcome. That means to win the presidency, Harris and Trump need to pick up as many swing states as possible. And as of midday Tuesday, state polling averages from publications like
Silver Bulletin,
Real Clear Politics,
FiveThirtyEight, and the
New York Times point to hair-raisingly tight contests in the most important swing states.
Wisconsin and Michigan are currently looking best for Harris: All four polling averages mentioned above agree she is narrowly ahead there, by about 1 to 3 percentage points. But those states would not be enough to give Harris an
Electoral College majority. The state of play is murkier in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona, where the averages vary. Though some averages of these states show Harris very slightly ahead (by about 1 percentage point or less) in each of those, others show tied races (in
Pennsylvania and
Nevada) or very narrow Trump leads (in
Arizona and
Georgia). In the remaining swing state, North Carolina, Trump
leads polling averages by a very tiny margin of less than 1 percentage point.
VOX.com
So, with only two months to go, it's too close to call but at least Russian influence during this election will be more closely monitored than in 2016, and sanctions on executives at RT have told them in no uncertain terms to keep their nose out.