Big Numbers today

Mixed stories paint a picture of the ventilators contributing little help to many patients. Not sure if you saw that viral video today of a Spanish ICU worker saying they are completely swamped and anyone over 65 is being bumped off the waiting list and just left sedated to die due the low chances of them surviving anyway. Desperate times :(

Until we start to find effective treatments to covid19 (as the Ventilator option isn't the holy grail here) and the other variants of this virus i don't see how Europe and the UK are going to cope as well as China managed. (ok Germany seems an exception for now) and then we have the USA, fck me they are in the sh't.

I heard the same comment about Italy and the over 65's. Our lot say it depends and they are always making similar decisions anyway and likely to be basing them on those other counties findings. Depends on a persons state when they get to the ventilator stage. Certain things say they wont recover. No details what. It's not fair when these people will have been paying for other peoples health all of their working life. To be honest I would like to see what is going on in the other Nightingales. Zero info. Some hospital has already complained about the number of unused ventilators in Number 1. One thing that has come out but not clearly is that anyone that finishes up on a ventilator has a limited chance of recovering and that they can take many months to recover fully. Lung damage I suppose and that may not recover.

Treatment. I'm surprised the Chinese didn't look at that. I can recollect people saying that they haven't taken malaria precaution medication because of side effects but who knows.

There is another load of don't go out of the house for 3month letters being sent - for your own safety. This might be down to having a better idea of risks from deaths. Average age on a ventilator has been said to be 60 but that doesn't match what some doctors who are actually treating people have said - 50's has been mentioned and younger.

To be honest I am concerned about the wide spread use of "details" being used to show that everything appears to be ok when in real terms it isn't. The ICU usage may be being flattened by not putting some on them. Average age - well one 80 year old is 30 years older than a 50 year old. Straight averages can be misleading. Nightingale 1 is a show piece - what about the others. And etc. Business loans, fixed now but you don't get one if you can borrow off the bank at an inflated interest rate. The gov loan is free for some time - why when conventional economics don't make much sense at the moment. Wonder what the IMF thinks. World money is just paper at the moment even more so than it has been. LOL I'm going into angry old man mode.
 
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Nightingale 1 is a show piece
I thought that -and the media keep saying it was built in 9 days which conveniently is the same as the Chinese hospital -it seems to me a bit of Cummings propaganda.

And Im sure its more than 9 days
 
We do have to remember that there is a lot of co-morbidity in those numbers.. Daily "regular" avg is over 700.
 
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Trump is now threatening to withdraw the USA's contribution to the WHO as he reckons they are too biased towards China. A fairer criticism would apply to all including the WHO. Perhaps too much of a bias towards economics. Usually ok but not when the sh*t really hits the fan.

Some talks broke down as the USA man insisted on calling it the China virus. As if that is going to help their trade balance which has been awful for many years and not helped by Americans buying more EU cars and more EU aeroplanes selling all over the place.
 
An interesting read if you have the time or inclination

https://www.who.int/docs/default-so...na-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf

This is a snippet from China authorities on how they dealt with is in Hubei province, note EVERYONE wears a mask etc.

Enterprises and institutions have staggered their return to work. Transportation Departments setup thousands of health and quarantine stations in national service areas, and in entrances and exits for passengers at stations. Hubei Province adopted the most stringent traffic control measures, such as suspension of urban public transport, including subway, ferry and long-distance passenger transport. Every citizen has to wear a mask in public. Home support mechanisms were established. As a consequence of all of these measures, public life is very reduced.

Snippet 2

A variety of repurposed drugs and investigational drugs have been identified. Screening NMPA approved drug libraries and other chemical libraries have identified novel agents. Hundreds of clinical trials involving remdesivir, chloroquine, favipiravir, chloroquine, convalescent plasma, TCM and other interventions are planned or underway.

In the few reports i read it 'seemed' they were gaining some success with remdesivir. I am surprised however that considering China are some way ahead in the discovery process we have no resolute plan of attack here so it seems anyway. Unless each country is playing their cards close due to supplies etc.
 
Trump is now threatening to withdraw the USA's contribution to the WHO
I'm sure people are already thinking that when the deaths really mount up and a USA Covid pandemic post mortem is being carried out, Trump will demand that the WHO top dog get down on his knees and say publicly that it was their fault that so many USA citizens died, or he will remove funding.
Loves bribery, extortion and quid pro quo does The Donald.
 
We do have to remember that there is a lot of co-morbidity in those numbers.. Daily "regular" avg is over 700.
Comorbidity doesn't mean you're going to die of something any time soon. High blood pressure, diabetes and a whole long list of other conditions are comorbidities but you can live with them for decades.
 
In the few reports i read it 'seemed' they were gaining some success with remdesivir. I am surprised however that considering China are some way ahead in the discovery process we have no resolute plan of attack here so it seems anyway. Unless each country is playing their cards close due to supplies etc

I get the impression that the scientific lot are not inclined to see any one else's evidence as conclusive unless they did it. There seems to be some straight reporting here

https://www.pmlive.com/pharma_news/...se_of_gileads_remdesivir_for_covid-19_1337866

;) Feeling a bit morbid I'll give the link a read - after some sleep in case it keeps me awake. Not had that problem yet but ....................
 
It's more like double that.

I saw the graphics that suggest twice as many as reported - it was a curve. In practice it could be any shape so best wait for national statistics to catch up more.
 
Good piece from the mighty John Redwood about how we need to get back to work:

http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2020/04/06/an-exit-strategy/

At the end of the piece, a true comment: "Lock down hits the lower paid in the private sector hardest".

I think that is garbage if gov carries on supporting people as they currently are. If any business is to run again it needs people. At some number of people employed companies will often want to get rid of some and may want to take advantage of the current situation. Or it may be financially advisable but when they run again they will need people.

The cost of supporting people is another matter but it's all funny money now and all countries will be in the same state. Curious thing is that if all are paying debt, including the country itself it will make recovery even more difficult than usual. Answer for the bank problem was to print more. I suspect when faced with it they will have to think very carefully about what they need to do. The IMF have already said that they have received way more requests for money than they have ever seen before. Even at 0% it would take some time to pay it back.
 
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