Big Numbers today

[motorbiking]

We've got another week at least. We are still getting pre-lock down deaths. Based on the new cases, we might hit 2,000 a day.

 

[Munroast]

Massive country, homing only 10M, largest city has 1.5M.

This virus seems to make hay in big dense cities. London is the epicentre of UK virus and there are 7M. If you factor in population, there isn't that much between us.

very true, one of the hardest hit areas in the UK is Cumbria, more cases per capita then the big conurbations a little to their south
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavi...cases-are-in-your-area-updated-daily-11956258

We've got another week at least. We are still getting pre-lock down deaths. Based on the new cases, we might hit 2,000 a day.

I hope you are wrong with that, we seem to be following Italy so hopefully not much more than a 1000 a day for the next week. (what a huge amount of individual family tragedies)

 

[Munroast]

.
(duplicate post)

 

[FrodoOne]

While mass numbers grab headlines what may be more significant are "Death/Case" (%) and "Death/(Million) Population"
While the Global Cases are, no doubt, under reported these are some of the unfortunate figures which I have calculated today from https://bing.com/covid?form=msntrk and (round figure) population data.

 

[sodthisforfun]

Poor USA have just gone over 2000 in a day.

 

[EFLImpudence]

So has Europe.

 

[ajohn]

Something concerning deaths cropped up recently related to dehydration during treatment also related to equipment. There is usually a kidney support unit available on an ICU and there isn't enough of them but medications used also related to it. Leaked memo amongst the NHS chiefs so may take a while to percolate down if it results in an improvement. It suggests that it's directly related to ventilation machines.

Think there are 900 odd reported again today. So makes the highs more level. Holiday periods just like weekends may reduce numbers down to reporting times.

 

[Notch7]

While mass numbers grab headlines what may be more significant are "Death/Case" (%)

Im not sure that means much because the rate of testing varies so much.

deaths rate per capita is probably a useful guide, although countries that have lower population densities may have a lower rate of transmission.

 

[ajohn]

Not sure what to make of this

 

[Munroast]

UK seems to be following the Italian profile
Belgium are continuing to sky rocket (up to 26)

Sweden is very intereting since they have not closed down their entire economy, schools /cafes bars still open?
France had an abrupt ending to their upward trajectory
Germany have done well.

data from worldometers

 

[Brigadier]

...... countries that have lower population densities may have a lower rate of transmission

One would hope so, otherwise social distancing would be pointless.

(population being evenly distributed rather than being concentrated in a few areas, notwithstanding).

 

[motorbiking]

Well that's the big problem. There are places like London and New York that mask the rest of the country. A whole country is too big to show deaths per/mil given the distribution of the population.

 

[durhamplumber]

Well that's the big problem. There are places like London and New York that mask the rest of the country. A whole country is too big to show deaths per/mil given the distribution of the population.

That makes no sense

 

[charliegolf]

We've got another week at least.

And the rest... It's a curve, the deaths are not going to go off a cliff after the peak. More likely to drop by half every 4 days or so on the way down.

 

[ellal]

And the rest... It's a curve, the deaths are not going to go off a cliff after the peak. More likely to drop by half every 4 days or so on the way down.

And then there will be a second wave and then a third...

How bad that turns out to be depends on how the richer countries help out the poorer ones.

We ignore that at our own peril!

Of course if/when there is a vaccine, who will get it first?
Obviously health workers should be first in line, but then money will talk as always.
Although how that will play out will be interesting because the whole world is bankrupt!

Ctrl+Alt+Del and start again ?